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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Manchester Super Giants v Welsh Fire

開賽時間： 2026-08-05 14:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

35 家博彩公司 (12 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Manchester Super Giants (主隊)

預測 54.44%1.84公平賠率
EV +1.80%
優勢 +0.960%
Kelly +2.06%
成長率 +0.037%

假設最高賠率為 1.87

博彩公司預測分布
50.00%54.11%54.55%56.70%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.681.731.731.8759.52%57.92%57.80%53.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Welsh Fire (客隊)

預測 45.56%2.19公平賠率
EV +0.240%
優勢 +0.109%
Kelly +0.200%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.20

博彩公司預測分布
43.30%45.89%45.45%50.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.872.092.102.2053.48%47.82%47.62%45.45%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Manchester Super Giants (主隊)：54.44%；Welsh Fire (客隊)：45.56%。 對於「Manchester Super Giants (主隊)」，該估計相當於1.84的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為1.87，對應+1.80%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (35 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +1.80%E +0.960%K +2.06%G +0.037%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -14.80%E -7.91%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 11:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.95%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 13:50
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 13:40
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -9.78%E -4.94%K -9.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 13:34
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:30
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:34
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:34
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:30
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -7.51%E -3.70%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.87%E -4.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 13:53
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.87%E -4.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 13:55
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -10.24%E -5.20%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 13:40
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:29
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 13:30
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 13:30
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 13:50
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:30
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -8.00%E -4.74%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.87%E -4.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 13:50
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.240%E +0.109%K +0.200%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 13:55
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.240%E +0.109%K +0.200%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.240%E +0.109%K +0.200%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 13:54
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.240%E +0.109%K +0.200%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.240%E +0.109%K +0.200%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 13:54
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-08-05 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-08-05 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-08-05 13:55
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-08-05 13:55
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-08-05 13:55