Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Manchester Super Giants v Welsh Fire

2026-08-05 14:00 UTC — The Hundred

Frente a frente

34 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Manchester Super Giants (Local)

Previsão 45.67%2.19odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -2.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.24%45.66%45.61%49.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.032.052.1352.36%49.18%48.78%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Welsh Fire (Visitante)

Previsão 54.33%1.84odd justa
EV +1.60%
Vantagem +0.856%
Kelly +1.84%
Crescimento +0.029%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.53%54.34%54.39%55.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.691.761.731.8759.17%56.77%57.80%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Manchester Super Giants (Local): 45.67%; Welsh Fire (Visitante): 54.33%. Para Welsh Fire (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.84. 7 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.87, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.60%.

Odds das casas de apostas (34 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.69%K -14.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +1.60%E +0.856%K +1.84%G +0.029%5.8%2026-08-04 07:45
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.69%K -14.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +1.60%E +0.856%K +1.84%G +0.029%5.8%2026-08-04 07:45
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.69%K -14.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +1.60%E +0.856%K +1.84%G +0.029%5.8%2026-08-04 07:44
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.69%K -14.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +1.60%E +0.856%K +1.84%G +0.029%5.8%2026-08-04 07:44
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.69%K -14.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +1.60%E +0.856%K +1.84%G +0.029%5.8%2026-08-04 07:44
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.69%K -14.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +1.60%E +0.856%K +1.84%G +0.029%5.8%2026-08-04 07:44
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.69%K -14.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +1.60%E +0.856%K +1.84%G +0.029%5.8%2026-08-04 07:44
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.84%E -3.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.83%E -2.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:04
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 00:04
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:54
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 00:05
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 00:04
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.84%E -3.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 00:04
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.86%E -6.15%K -12.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 17:59
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:35
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:35
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:59
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 20:55
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 05:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 05:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 05:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 22:59
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 23:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:59
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.66%E -4.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 23:55
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.66%E -4.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.09%E -4.15%K -9.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 00:05
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.47%E -2.64%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.64%E -4.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:59
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -2.73%E -1.28%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -8.18%E -4.84%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 17:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.18%E -4.84%K -11.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 19:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-04 23:55
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-08-05 00:10
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-08-04 23:50