默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

South Africa v Australia

2026-10-18 08:00 UTC — Test Matches

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

South Africa (主队)

预测 41.34%2.42公平赔率
EV -0.785%
优势 -0.327%
Kelly -0.561%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
38.64%40.98%41.34%42.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.322.332.4046.51%43.15%43.01%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Australia (客队)

预测 45.37%2.20公平赔率
EV -4.72%
优势 -2.25%
Kelly -4.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
44.32%46.01%45.37%48.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.032.052.1052.63%49.14%48.78%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 13.29%7.53公平赔率
EV +32.88%
优势 +3.29%
Kelly +3.65%
增长率 +1.20%

假设最高赔率为 10.00

博彩公司预测分布
9.16%13.02%13.29%16.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.756.786.1310.0017.39%14.76%16.33%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:South Africa (主队):41.34%;Australia (客队):45.37%;平局:13.29%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.53。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为10.00,由此产生+32.88%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.55%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.87%EV -9.25%E -4.63%K -9.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.57%EV +32.88%E +3.29%K +3.65%G +1.20%4.4%2026-10-13 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.59%EV -9.05%E -4.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.05%EV -11.52%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV +32.88%E +3.29%K +3.65%G +1.20%6.7%2026-10-13 11:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.62%EV -11.12%E -5.17%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.22%EV -13.79%E -7.26%K -15.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV +32.88%E +3.29%K +3.65%G +1.20%9.1%2026-10-13 11:39
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 12:04
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 12:04
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 13:44
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.99%EV -9.25%E -4.63%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.99%EV -9.25%E -4.63%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-13 12:04
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-13 12:05
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

套利(60 种组合) +0.72%Unibet 2.40 (42.0%) / Ladbrokes (UK) 2.10 (48.0%) / NordicBet 10.00 (10.1%)显示全部 60 种组合
South Africa (主队)Australia (客队)平局利润率
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%

共 60 种组合,当前显示 50 种