Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

South Africa v Australia

2026-10-18 08:00 UTC — Test Matches

Frente a frente

20 casas de apostas (4 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

South Africa (Local)

Previsão 41.34%2.42odd justa
EV -0.785%
Vantagem -0.327%
Kelly -0.561%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.64%40.98%41.34%42.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.322.332.4046.51%43.15%43.01%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Australia (Visitante)

Previsão 45.37%2.20odd justa
EV -4.72%
Vantagem -2.25%
Kelly -4.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.32%46.01%45.37%48.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.032.052.1052.63%49.14%48.78%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 13.29%7.53odd justa
EV +32.88%
Vantagem +3.29%
Kelly +3.65%
Crescimento +1.20%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.16%13.02%13.29%16.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.756.786.1310.0017.39%14.76%16.33%10.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: South Africa (Local): 41.34%; Australia (Visitante): 45.37%; Empate: 13.29%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 7.53. 3 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 10.00, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +32.88%.

Odds das casas de apostas (20 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.55%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.87%EV -9.25%E -4.63%K -9.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.57%EV +32.88%E +3.29%K +3.65%G +1.20%4.4%2026-10-13 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.59%EV -9.05%E -4.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.05%EV -11.52%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV +32.88%E +3.29%K +3.65%G +1.20%6.7%2026-10-13 11:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.62%EV -11.12%E -5.17%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.22%EV -13.79%E -7.26%K -15.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV +32.88%E +3.29%K +3.65%G +1.20%9.1%2026-10-13 11:39
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 12:04
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 12:04
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 13:44
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.99%EV -9.25%E -4.63%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.99%EV -9.25%E -4.63%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-13 12:04
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-13 12:05
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Arbitragem (60 combinações) +0.72%Unibet 2.40 (42.0%) / Ladbrokes (UK) 2.10 (48.0%) / NordicBet 10.00 (10.1%)Mostrar as 60 combinações
South Africa (Local)Australia (Visitante)EmpateMargem
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%

A mostrar 50 de 60 combinações