StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

South Africa v Australia

2026-10-18 08:00 UTC — Test Matches

Matchresultat

20 spelbolag (4 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

South Africa (Hemma)

Prognos 41.34%2.42rättvist odds
EV -0.785%
Fördel -0.327%
Kelly -0.561%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.64%40.98%41.34%42.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.322.332.4046.51%43.15%43.01%41.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Australia (Borta)

Prognos 45.37%2.20rättvist odds
EV -4.72%
Fördel -2.25%
Kelly -4.29%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.32%46.01%45.37%48.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.902.032.052.1052.63%49.14%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 13.29%7.53rättvist odds
EV +32.88%
Fördel +3.29%
Kelly +3.65%
Tillväxt +1.20%

med antagandet om högsta odds 10.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
9.16%13.02%13.29%16.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.756.786.1310.0017.39%14.76%16.33%10.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: South Africa (Hemma): 41.34%; Australia (Borta): 45.37%; Oavgjort: 13.29%. För Oavgjort motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.53. 3 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 10.00, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +32.88%.

Spelbolagsodds (20 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.55%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.87%EV -9.25%E -4.63%K -9.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.57%EV +32.88%E +3.29%K +3.65%G +1.20%4.4%2026-10-13 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.59%EV -9.05%E -4.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.05%EV -11.52%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV +32.88%E +3.29%K +3.65%G +1.20%6.7%2026-10-13 11:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.62%EV -11.12%E -5.17%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.22%EV -13.79%E -7.26%K -15.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV +32.88%E +3.29%K +3.65%G +1.20%9.1%2026-10-13 11:39
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 12:04
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 12:04
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 13:44
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.99%EV -9.25%E -4.63%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.99%EV -9.25%E -4.63%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-13 12:04
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -6.99%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-13 12:05
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:34
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -0.785%E -0.327%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -23.60%E -4.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 11:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Arbitrage (60 kombinationer) +0.72%Unibet 2.40 (42.0%) / Ladbrokes (UK) 2.10 (48.0%) / NordicBet 10.00 (10.1%)Visa alla 60 kombinationer
South Africa (Hemma)Australia (Borta)OavgjortMarginal
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Casumo🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
TABtouch🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Grosvenor🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
LiveScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Coral🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)NordicBet🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.40 (42.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%

Visar 50 av 60 kombinationer