Language:English
England v Pakistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
England (Local)
Prediction 68.56%1.46fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -6.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.41%68.60%68.74%70.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.371.4275.76%72.80%72.99%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pakistan (Visit)
Prediction 14.17%7.06fair odd
EV -0.784%
Edge -0.112%
Kelly -0.131%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.37%14.25%14.21%16.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.356.257.0017.24%15.76%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.26%5.79fair odd
EV +3.58%
Edge +0.596%
Kelly +0.716%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.62%17.15%17.05%18.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.345.456.0020.00%18.72%18.35%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: England (Local): 68.56%; Pakistan (Visit): 14.17%; Draw: 17.26%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.79. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.58%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +3.58%E +0.596%K +0.716%G +0.026% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 08:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.94%EV -9.50%E -7.19%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -0.784%E -0.112%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 15.68%EV +3.06%E +0.513%K +0.616%G +0.019% | 6.8% | 2026-08-27 09:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -6.45%E -0.978%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -3.33%E -0.594%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -6.45%E -0.978%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -3.33%E -0.594%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 14:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -6.45%E -0.978%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -3.33%E -0.594%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -0.784%E -0.112%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -0.784%E -0.112%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 16:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.95%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.95%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.49%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.27%EV -13.54%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.12%EV -13.54%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-27 09:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.784%E -0.112%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 09:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.63%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -4.33%E -0.641%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-25 16:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.16%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.10%EV -14.25%E -2.36%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.74%EV -11.10%E -2.15%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-27 09:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.41%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -17.79%E -3.07%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.41%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -17.79%E -3.07%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-25 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-27 09:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-27 09:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-27 09:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.80% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.80% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.80% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.80% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 09:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 09:40 |