Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

England v Pakistan

2026-08-27 10:00 UTC — Test Matches

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

England (Local)

Prediction 64.23%1.56fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -7.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.59%64.90%64.23%67.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.391.5073.53%71.30%72.20%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pakistan (Visit)

Prediction 21.00%4.76fair odd
EV +25.97%
Edge +4.33%
Kelly +5.19%
Growth +1.35%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.38%19.93%21.00%23.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.005.205.306.0025.00%19.24%18.87%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.78%6.77fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.376%
Kelly -0.443%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.25%15.17%14.78%16.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.505.855.756.6018.18%17.08%17.39%15.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: England (Local): 64.23%; Pakistan (Visit): 21.00%; Draw: 14.78%. For Pakistan (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. 10 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.00, producing a positive expected value of +25.97%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -12.01%E -8.76%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -12.01%E -8.76%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 16:39
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:39
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:40
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:39
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:39
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -3.42%E -0.743%K -0.950%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 15:33
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -3.42%E -0.743%K -0.950%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.52%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 15:34
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.52%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 15:34
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.52%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.52%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -9.72%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.96%E -0.609%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 15:04
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.28%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -10.77%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -2.48%E -0.376%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 20:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -11.82%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -3.96%E -0.609%K -0.719%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 15:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -16.02%E -4.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.96%E -0.609%K -0.719%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 15:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%5.5%2026-08-21 16:39
Arbitrage (250 combinations) +1.54%NordicBet 1.50 (67.7%) / Unibet 6.00 (16.9%) / 888sport 6.60 (15.4%)Show all 250 combinations
England (Local)Pakistan (Visit)DrawMargin
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Virgin Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)LiveScore Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Unibet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)TABtouch🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)BetRivers🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Unibet (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Casumo🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Grosvenor🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Virgin Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)LiveScore Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Unibet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)TABtouch🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)BetRivers🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Unibet (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Casumo🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Grosvenor🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Unibet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Unibet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Unibet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)TABtouch🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)TABtouch🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)TABtouch🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)BetRivers🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)BetRivers🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)BetRivers🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Casumo🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Casumo🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Casumo🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Grosvenor🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Grosvenor🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Grosvenor🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%

Showing 50 of 250 combinations

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