默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

England v Pakistan

开赛时间: 2026-08-27 10:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

England (主队)

预测 68.56%1.46公平赔率
EV -2.64%
优势 -1.86%
Kelly -6.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.42

博彩公司预测分布
65.41%68.60%68.74%70.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.371.371.4275.76%72.80%72.99%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pakistan (客队)

预测 14.17%7.06公平赔率
EV -0.784%
优势 -0.112%
Kelly -0.131%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 7.00

博彩公司预测分布
13.37%14.25%14.21%16.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.806.356.257.0017.24%15.76%16.00%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 17.26%5.79公平赔率
EV +3.58%
优势 +0.596%
Kelly +0.716%
增长率 +0.026%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.62%17.15%17.05%18.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.345.456.0020.00%18.72%18.35%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:England (主队):68.56%;Pakistan (客队):14.17%;平局:17.26%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.79。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.00,对应+3.58%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +3.58%E +0.596%K +0.716%G +0.026%6.7%2026-08-27 08:00
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.94%EV -9.50%E -7.19%K -29.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -0.784%E -0.112%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.68%EV +3.06%E +0.513%K +0.616%G +0.019%6.8%2026-08-27 09:55
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -6.45%E -0.978%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -3.33%E -0.594%K -0.723%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -6.45%E -0.978%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -3.33%E -0.594%K -0.723%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -6.45%E -0.978%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -3.33%E -0.594%K -0.723%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -0.784%E -0.112%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 16:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 09:50
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 09:50
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 09:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -0.784%E -0.112%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 16:09
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.95%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 09:50
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.95%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.49%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.27%EV -13.54%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 09:50
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.12%EV -13.54%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-27 09:48
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.784%E -0.112%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 09:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.63%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -4.33%E -0.641%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-25 16:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.16%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.10%EV -14.25%E -2.36%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.74%EV -11.10%E -2.15%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-27 09:59
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.41%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -17.79%E -3.07%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.41%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -17.79%E -3.07%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-27 09:50
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-27 09:50
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-27 09:50
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-27 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-27 09:50
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-27 09:34
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-27 09:33
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.80%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%0.2%2026-08-27 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.80%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%0.2%2026-08-27 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.80%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%0.2%2026-08-27 09:55
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.80%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%0.2%2026-08-27 09:55

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%7.0%2026-08-27 09:40