Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

England v Pakistan

2026-08-27 10:00 UTC — Test Matches

Resultado del partido

20 corredores (4 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

England (Local)

Predicción 64.23%1.56momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -2.44%
Kelly -7.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.59%64.90%64.23%67.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.401.391.5073.53%71.30%72.20%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pakistan (Visitante)

Predicción 21.00%4.76momio equitativo
EV +25.97%
Ventaja +4.33%
Kelly +5.19%
Crecimiento +1.35%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.38%19.93%21.00%23.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.005.205.306.0025.00%19.24%18.87%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 14.78%6.77momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.376%
Kelly -0.443%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.25%15.17%14.78%16.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.505.855.756.6018.18%17.08%17.39%15.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: England (Local): 64.23%; Pakistan (Visitante): 21.00%; Empate: 14.78%. Para Pakistan (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.76. 10 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +25.97%.

1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (2 vías, frente al formato de 3 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (20 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -12.01%E -8.76%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -12.01%E -8.76%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 16:39
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:39
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:40
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:39
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +25.97%E +4.33%K +5.19%G +1.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -18.73%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 16:39
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -3.42%E -0.743%K -0.950%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 15:33
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -3.42%E -0.743%K -0.950%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.52%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 15:34
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.52%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 15:34
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.52%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.52%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -9.72%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.96%E -0.609%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 15:04
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.28%EV -3.66%E -2.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -10.77%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -2.48%E -0.376%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 20:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -11.82%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -3.96%E -0.609%K -0.719%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 15:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -16.02%E -4.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.96%E -0.609%K -0.719%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 15:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Margen ▲Actualizado
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%5.5%2026-08-21 16:39
Arbitraje (250 combinaciones) +1.54%NordicBet 1.50 (67.7%) / Unibet 6.00 (16.9%) / 888sport 6.60 (15.4%)Ver las 250 combinaciones
England (Local)Pakistan (Visitante)EmpateMargen
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Virgin Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)LiveScore Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Unibet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)TABtouch🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)BetRivers🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Unibet (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Casumo🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Grosvenor🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.7%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Virgin Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)LiveScore Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Unibet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)TABtouch🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)BetRivers🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Unibet (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Casumo🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)Grosvenor🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
888sport🎯 1.50 (67.7%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)888sport🎯 6.60 (15.4%)+1.54%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Unibet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Unibet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Unibet🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)TABtouch🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)TABtouch🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)TABtouch🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)BetRivers🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)BetRivers🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)BetRivers🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Casumo🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Casumo🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Casumo🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Grosvenor🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Grosvenor🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)Grosvenor🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)NordicBet🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%
NordicBet🎯 1.50 (67.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 6.50 (15.6%)+1.30%

Mostrando 50 de 250 combinaciones

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