Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

England v Pakistan

Inizio: 2026-08-27 10:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

England (Casa)

Previsione 68.56%1.46quota equa
EV -2.64%
Vantaggio -1.86%
Kelly -6.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.41%68.60%68.74%70.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.371.371.4275.76%72.80%72.99%70.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pakistan (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.17%7.06quota equa
EV -0.784%
Vantaggio -0.112%
Kelly -0.131%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.37%14.25%14.21%16.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.806.356.257.0017.24%15.76%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 17.26%5.79quota equa
EV +3.58%
Vantaggio +0.596%
Kelly +0.716%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.62%17.15%17.05%18.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.345.456.0020.00%18.72%18.35%16.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: England (Casa): 68.56%; Pakistan (Trasferta): 14.17%; Pareggio: 17.26%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.79. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.58%.

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -8.13%E -6.06%K -23.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +3.58%E +0.596%K +0.716%G +0.026%6.7%2026-08-27 08:00
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.94%EV -9.50%E -7.19%K -29.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -0.784%E -0.112%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.68%EV +3.06%E +0.513%K +0.616%G +0.019%6.8%2026-08-27 09:55
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -6.45%E -0.978%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -3.33%E -0.594%K -0.723%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -6.45%E -0.978%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -3.33%E -0.594%K -0.723%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -6.45%E -0.978%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -3.33%E -0.594%K -0.723%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -0.784%E -0.112%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 16:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 09:50
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 09:50
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 09:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -0.784%E -0.112%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 16:09
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.95%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 09:50
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.95%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -11.41%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.49%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.27%EV -13.54%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 09:50
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.12%EV -13.54%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-27 09:48
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.784%E -0.112%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 09:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.63%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -4.33%E -0.641%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-25 16:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.16%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.10%EV -14.25%E -2.36%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.74%EV -11.10%E -2.15%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-27 09:59
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.41%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -17.79%E -3.07%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.41%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -17.79%E -3.07%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-27 09:50
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-27 09:50
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-27 09:50
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-27 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.75%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.96%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-27 09:50
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-27 09:34
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.81%E -6.62%K -26.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-27 09:33
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.80%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%0.2%2026-08-27 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.80%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%0.2%2026-08-27 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.80%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%0.2%2026-08-27 09:55
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.80%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%0.2%2026-08-27 09:55

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Margine ▲Aggiornamento
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%7.0%2026-08-27 09:40