The School of Odds

Lancashire v Durham

2026-07-12 14:30 UTC — T20 Blast

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Lancashire (Local)

Prediction 54.59%1.83fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -5.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%54.62%54.65%55.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.691.721.721.7559%58%58%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Durham (Visit)

Prediction 45.41%2.20fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -4.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%45.38%45.35%46.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.102.1050%48%48%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 00:59
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 00:59
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 01:09
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 21:19
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 21:19
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 21:19
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 21:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 21:45
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 00:59
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 00:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 01:25
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 21:20
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.10%E -3.55%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.10%E -3.55%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 21:19
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.10%E -3.55%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 21:19
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.46%E -3.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 23:10
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:30
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:30
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:30
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 21:30
Unibet (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.74%E -4.58%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 21:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%6.4%2026-07-10 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 60.92%2.12I 47.17%NM 39.08%20.7%2026-07-10 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 60.92%2.12I 47.17%NM 39.08%20.7%2026-07-10 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 52.82%1.50I 66.67%NM 47.18%41.3%2026-07-10 22:29