La scuola delle quote

Lancashire v Durham

Inizio: 2026-07-12 14:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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32 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lancashire (Casa)

Previsione 60.88%1.64quota equa
EV +4.11%
Vantaggio +2.40%
Kelly +5.79%
Crescita +0.238%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.64%59.90%60.82%62.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.551.541.7166.67%64.48%64.94%58.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Durham (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.12%2.56quota equa
EV -0.643%
Vantaggio -0.253%
Kelly -0.417%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.13%40.10%39.18%45.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.062.402.402.5448.54%41.59%41.67%39.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV +4.11%E +2.40%K +5.79%G +0.238%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -19.42%E -9.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 23:10
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +3.50%E +2.06%K +5.00%G +0.175%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -15.90%E -7.39%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 11:44
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV +3.50%E +2.06%K +5.00%G +0.175%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -17.46%E -8.28%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 07:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 14:09
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:24
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:25
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:10
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:10
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:10
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:24
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:24
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 14:23
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 14:23
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 14:24
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 14:24
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -7.68%E -3.26%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 14:10
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -8.68%E -5.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -0.643%E -0.253%K -0.417%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 14:24
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.68%E -5.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 14:24
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.68%E -5.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 14:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-12 14:25
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-12 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-12 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-12 14:25
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-07-12 14:25