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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Lancashire v Durham

開賽時間： 2026-07-12 14:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

32 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lancashire (主隊)

預測 60.88%1.64公平賠率
EV +4.11%
優勢 +2.40%
Kelly +5.79%
成長率 +0.238%

假設最高賠率為 1.71

博彩公司預測分布
54.64%59.90%60.82%62.87%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.501.551.541.7166.67%64.48%64.94%58.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Durham (客隊)

預測 39.12%2.56公平賠率
EV -0.643%
優勢 -0.253%
Kelly -0.417%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.54

博彩公司預測分布
37.13%40.10%39.18%45.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.062.402.402.5448.54%41.59%41.67%39.37%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Lancashire (主隊)：60.88%；Durham (客隊)：39.12%。 對於「Lancashire (主隊)」，該估計相當於1.64的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為1.71，對應+4.11%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (32 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV +4.11%E +2.40%K +5.79%G +0.238%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -19.42%E -9.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 23:10
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +3.50%E +2.06%K +5.00%G +0.175%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -15.90%E -7.39%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 11:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV +3.50%E +2.06%K +5.00%G +0.175%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -17.46%E -8.28%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 07:10
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 14:09
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:24
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:25
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:10
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:10
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:09
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:24
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:24
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 14:23
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 14:23
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 14:24
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 14:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -7.68%E -3.26%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 14:10
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -8.68%E -5.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -0.643%E -0.253%K -0.417%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 14:24
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.68%E -5.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 14:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.68%E -5.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 14:24
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-12 14:25
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-12 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-12 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-12 14:25
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-07-12 14:25