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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Lancashire v Durham

开赛时间： 2026-07-12 14:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lancashire (主队)

预测 60.88%1.64公平赔率
EV +4.11%
优势 +2.40%
Kelly +5.79%
增长率 +0.238%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布
54.64%59.90%60.82%62.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.551.541.7166.67%64.48%64.94%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Durham (客队)

预测 39.12%2.56公平赔率
EV -0.643%
优势 -0.253%
Kelly -0.417%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.54

博彩公司预测分布
37.13%40.10%39.18%45.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.062.402.402.5448.54%41.59%41.67%39.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Lancashire (主队)：60.88%；Durham (客队)：39.12%。 对于“Lancashire (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.64。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.71，对应+4.11%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV +4.11%E +2.40%K +5.79%G +0.238%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -19.42%E -9.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 23:10
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +3.50%E +2.06%K +5.00%G +0.175%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -15.90%E -7.39%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 11:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV +3.50%E +2.06%K +5.00%G +0.175%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -17.46%E -8.28%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 07:10
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 14:09
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:24
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:25
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:14
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:10
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:10
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:09
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:24
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:24
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 14:23
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 14:23
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 14:24
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 14:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -7.68%E -3.26%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 14:10
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -8.68%E -5.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -0.643%E -0.253%K -0.417%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 14:24
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.68%E -5.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 14:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.68%E -5.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 14:24
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-12 14:25
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-12 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-12 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-12 14:25
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-07-12 14:25