Glamorgan v Worcestershire

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

59%

41%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Glamorgan (Local)

Prediction 59.46%1.68fair odd

EV -1.89%

Edge -1.15%

Kelly -2.91%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.25%59.28%60.05%61.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.531.581.581.6565%63%63%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Worcestershire (Visit)

Prediction 40.54%2.47fair odd

EV +1.35%

Edge +0.541%

Kelly +0.901%

Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.57%40.72%39.95%42.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.192.332.352.5046%43%43%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.35%E +0.541%K +0.901%G +0.012%	3.7%	2026-07-05 14:25
Coral	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.35%E +0.541%K +0.901%G +0.012%	3.7%	2026-07-05 14:25
SportsBet	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.43%E -5.48%K -15.62%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -1.49%E -0.611%K -1.04%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-05 14:25
NordicBet	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-05 14:25
Betsson	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-05 14:25
Unibet (UK)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.94%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-05 13:55
TAB	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.25%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:25
Paddy Power	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 13:55
Sky Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 13:55
888sport	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:25
betfred_uk	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:25
Neds	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:19
Betr (AU)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.25%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-05 14:25
Betway	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.03%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-05 14:25
William Hill	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-05 14:10
Bet Victor	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.03%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-07-05 14:23
Pinnacle	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -8.38%E -3.71%K -6.65%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-05 14:05
BoyleSports	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 12:50
LiveScore Bet	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-05 14:05
Casumo	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-05 14:05
Virgin Bet	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-05 14:04
Unibet	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-05 14:05
Unibet (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-05 14:05
TABtouch	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-05 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-05 14:05
Grosvenor	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-05 14:05
ATG (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-05 14:04
BetOnline.ag	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -1.89%E -1.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -10.40%E -4.71%K -8.60%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-05 13:44
Marathon Bet	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -11.22%E -5.12%K -9.42%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-05 14:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%	2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%	0.2%	2026-07-05 14:25
Matchbook	1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%	0.2%	2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%	0.6%	2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%	1.3%	2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%	1.4%	2026-07-05 14:25