Language:English
Glamorgan v Worcestershire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Glamorgan (Local)
Prediction 59.46%1.68fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.25%59.28%60.05%61.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.581.6565.36%63.21%63.29%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Worcestershire (Visit)
Prediction 40.54%2.47fair odd
EV +1.35%
Edge +0.541%
Kelly +0.901%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%40.72%39.95%42.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.192.332.352.5045.66%43.00%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Glamorgan (Local): 59.46%; Worcestershire (Visit): 40.54%. For Worcestershire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.35%E +0.541%K +0.901%G +0.012% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.35%E +0.541%K +0.901%G +0.012% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.43%E -5.48%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -1.49%E -0.611%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 14:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -8.38%E -3.71%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -1.89%E -1.15%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -10.40%E -4.71%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -11.22%E -5.12%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
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