语言:简体中文
Glamorgan v Worcestershire
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Glamorgan (主队)
预测 59.46%1.68公平赔率
EV -1.89%
优势 -1.15%
Kelly -2.91%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.65
博彩公司预测分布
57.25%59.28%60.05%61.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.581.581.6565.36%63.21%63.29%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
Worcestershire (客队)
预测 40.54%2.47公平赔率
EV +1.35%
优势 +0.541%
Kelly +0.901%
增长率 +0.012%
假设最高赔率为 2.50
博彩公司预测分布
38.57%40.72%39.95%42.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.192.332.352.5045.66%43.00%42.55%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Glamorgan (主队)：59.46%；Worcestershire (客队)：40.54%。 对于“Worcestershire (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.47。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.50，对应+1.35%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.35%E +0.541%K +0.901%G +0.012% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.35%E +0.541%K +0.901%G +0.012% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.43%E -5.48%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -1.49%E -0.611%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 14:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -8.38%E -3.71%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -1.89%E -1.15%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -10.40%E -4.71%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -11.22%E -5.12%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |