L’École des cotes

Glamorgan v Worcestershire

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Glamorgan (Local)

Prévision 59.46%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.25%59.28%60.05%61.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.581.581.6565.36%63.21%63.29%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Worcestershire (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.54%2.47cote équitable
EV +1.35%
Avantage +0.541%
Kelly +0.901%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.57%40.72%39.95%42.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.192.332.352.5045.66%43.00%42.55%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.35%E +0.541%K +0.901%G +0.012%3.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.35%E +0.541%K +0.901%G +0.012%3.7%2026-07-05 14:25
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.43%E -5.48%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -1.49%E -0.611%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 14:25
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:55
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 14:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 13:55
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 13:55
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 14:25
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 14:19
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 14:25
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 14:25
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:10
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 14:23
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -8.38%E -3.71%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 14:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:50
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:04
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:05
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:05
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:04
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -1.89%E -1.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -10.40%E -4.71%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 13:44
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -11.22%E -5.12%K -9.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 14:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-07-05 14:25
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-07-05 14:25