La scuola delle quote

Glamorgan v Worcestershire

Inizio: 2026-07-05 14:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Glamorgan (Casa)

Previsione 59.46%1.68quota equa
EV -1.89%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -2.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.25%59.28%60.05%61.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.581.581.6565.36%63.21%63.29%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Worcestershire (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.54%2.47quota equa
EV +1.35%
Vantaggio +0.541%
Kelly +0.901%
Crescita +0.012%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.57%40.72%39.95%42.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.192.332.352.5045.66%43.00%42.55%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.35%E +0.541%K +0.901%G +0.012%3.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.35%E +0.541%K +0.901%G +0.012%3.7%2026-07-05 14:25
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.43%E -5.48%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -1.49%E -0.611%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 14:25
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:55
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 14:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 13:55
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 13:55
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 14:25
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 14:19
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 14:25
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 14:25
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:10
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 14:23
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -8.38%E -3.71%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 14:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:50
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:04
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:05
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:05
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:04
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -1.89%E -1.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -10.40%E -4.71%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 13:44
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -11.22%E -5.12%K -9.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 14:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-07-05 14:25
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-07-05 14:25