Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 2.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Storm (Local): 62.48%; Portland Fire (Visit): 37.52%. For Seattle Storm (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.10%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +2.47%E +1.51%K +3.86%G +0.095% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -15.59%E -6.93%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.90%E -1.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.71%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.90%E -1.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.71%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.90%E -1.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.71%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -18.96%E -8.78%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -0.579%E -0.219%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -7.33%E -2.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.08%E -0.797%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.08%E -0.797%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.46%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.46%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.96%E -2.81%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -9.21%E -3.81%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -9.21%E -3.81%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.46%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.46%E -2.17%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -7.71%E -3.13%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.65%E -3.74%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.70%E -0.651%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 00:52 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.30%E +0.480%K +0.763%G +0.010% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.15%E -5.54%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |