L’École des cotesFrançais
Seattle Storm v Portland Fire
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Seattle Storm (Local)
Prévision 62.48%1.60cote équitable
EV +3.10%
Avantage +1.88%
Kelly +4.76%
Croissance +0.148%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.84%62.28%62.50%64.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.551.541.6568.03%64.49%64.94%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Portland Fire (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.52%2.67cote équitable
EV +1.30%
Avantage +0.480%
Kelly +0.763%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 2.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.71%37.72%37.50%42.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.162.472.502.7046.30%40.48%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +2.47%E +1.51%K +3.86%G +0.095% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -15.59%E -6.93%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.90%E -1.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.71%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.90%E -1.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.71%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.90%E -1.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.71%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -18.96%E -8.78%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -0.579%E -0.219%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| ReBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -7.33%E -2.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.08%E -0.797%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.08%E -0.797%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.46%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.46%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.96%E -2.81%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -9.21%E -3.81%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -9.21%E -3.81%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.46%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.46%E -2.17%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -7.71%E -3.13%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Caesars | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.65%E -3.74%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.70%E -0.651%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 00:52 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.30%E +0.480%K +0.763%G +0.010% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.15%E -5.54%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |