Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Storm v Portland Fire

Início: 2026-07-05 01:02 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 72–77 Portland Fire

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Storm (Local)

Previsão 62.48%1.60odd justa
EV +3.10%
Vantagem +1.88%
Kelly +4.76%
Crescimento +0.148%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.84%62.28%62.50%64.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.551.541.6568.03%64.49%64.94%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Portland Fire (Visitante)

Previsão 37.52%2.67odd justa
EV +1.30%
Vantagem +0.480%
Kelly +0.763%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.71%37.72%37.50%42.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.162.472.502.7046.30%40.48%40.00%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Storm (Local): 62.48%; Portland Fire (Visitante): 37.52%. Para Seattle Storm (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.60. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.10%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:00
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:00
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +2.47%E +1.51%K +3.86%G +0.095%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -15.59%E -6.93%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 01:00
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.90%E -1.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.71%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 01:00
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.90%E -1.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.71%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 00:59
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.90%E -1.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.71%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 00:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -18.96%E -8.78%K -16.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-05 01:00
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -0.579%E -0.219%K -0.351%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 00:59
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:00
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -7.33%E -2.97%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 00:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.08%E -0.797%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.08%E -0.797%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 01:00
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.46%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 01:00
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.46%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 00:59
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 00:59
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 00:59
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.96%E -2.81%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:00
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -9.21%E -3.81%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 00:59
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -9.21%E -3.81%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 00:59
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.46%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 01:00
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 01:00
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 01:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.46%E -2.17%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 00:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:59
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 01:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:59
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -7.71%E -3.13%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 01:00
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 01:00
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 01:00
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 01:00
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.65%E -3.74%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.70%E -0.651%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:52
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.30%E +0.480%K +0.763%G +0.010%3.7%2026-07-05 00:59
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 01:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 01:00
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.15%E -5.54%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-05 01:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-07-05 01:00
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-07-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-07-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-07-05 01:00
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-07-05 01:00
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-07-05 01:00