La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Seattle Storm v Portland Fire
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Storm (Local)
Predicción 62.48%1.60momio equitativo
EV +3.10%
Ventaja +1.88%
Kelly +4.76%
Crecimiento +0.148%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.84%62.28%62.50%64.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.551.541.6568.03%64.49%64.94%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Portland Fire (Visitante)
Predicción 37.52%2.67momio equitativo
EV +1.30%
Ventaja +0.480%
Kelly +0.763%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.71%37.72%37.50%42.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.162.472.502.7046.30%40.48%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV +3.10%E +1.88%K +4.76%G +0.148% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -14.46%E -6.34%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +2.47%E +1.51%K +3.86%G +0.095% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -15.59%E -6.93%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.90%E -1.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.71%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.90%E -1.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.71%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.90%E -1.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.71%E -4.50%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -18.96%E -8.78%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -0.579%E -0.219%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| ReBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -7.33%E -2.97%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.08%E -0.797%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.08%E -0.797%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.46%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.46%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.96%E -2.81%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -9.21%E -3.81%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -9.21%E -3.81%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.46%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.46%E -2.17%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -7.71%E -3.13%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Caesars | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.65%E -3.74%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.70%E -0.651%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 00:52 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.30%E +0.480%K +0.763%G +0.010% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 00:59 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.15%E -5.54%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |