Language:English
Portland Fire v Phoenix Mercury
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
Prediction 60.58%1.65fair odd
EV +7.83%
Edge +4.40%
Kelly +10.04%
Growth +0.786%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.66%60.15%60.64%62.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.581.571.7868.97%63.47%63.69%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Phoenix Mercury (Visit)
Prediction 39.42%2.54fair odd
EV +0.523%
Edge +0.205%
Kelly +0.337%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.80%39.85%39.36%47.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.412.422.5550.51%41.42%41.32%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 60.58%; Phoenix Mercury (Visit): 39.42%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV +7.83%E +4.40%K +10.04%G +0.786% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -21.95%E -11.08%K -22.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-05 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-06 01:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-06 01:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-06 01:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-06 00:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.07%E -1.92%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-06 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-06 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-06 00:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 01:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.33%E -4.06%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 01:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 00:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.78%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-06 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.45%E -0.579%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-06 01:47 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-06 00:37 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-06 00:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-06 01:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-06 01:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-06 01:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.36%E -3.13%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.30%E -5.02%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-06 00:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -6.10%E -3.94%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +0.523%E +0.205%K +0.337%G +0.002% | 3.7% | 2026-06-06 01:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.94%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.94%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-06 01:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.13%EV -12.16%E -8.39%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -10.12%E -4.44%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75% | 3.1% | 2026-06-06 01:40 |