La scuola delle quote

Portland Fire v Phoenix Mercury

Inizio: 2026-06-06 02:00 UTC

Finale: Portland Fire 72–78 Phoenix Mercury

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Portland Fire (Casa)

Previsione 60.58%1.65quota equa
EV +7.83%
Vantaggio +4.40%
Kelly +10.04%
Crescita +0.786%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.66%60.15%60.64%62.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.581.571.7868.97%63.47%63.69%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Phoenix Mercury (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.42%2.54quota equa
EV +0.523%
Vantaggio +0.205%
Kelly +0.337%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.80%39.85%39.36%47.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.412.422.5550.51%41.42%41.32%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV +7.83%E +4.40%K +10.04%G +0.786%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -21.95%E -11.08%K -22.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 00:10
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-06 01:29
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-06 01:29
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-06 01:29
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-06 00:29
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.07%E -1.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 01:50
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 01:49
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 00:40
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 00:30
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 00:19
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 01:39
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.33%E -4.06%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 01:39
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 00:20
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.78%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 00:20
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.45%E -0.579%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 01:47
Caesars1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 00:37
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 01:49
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 01:49
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 00:19
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 01:49
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-06 01:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-06 01:39
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-06 01:39
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.36%E -3.13%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 01:49
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.30%E -5.02%K -9.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-06 00:19
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:49
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:49
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:49
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:50
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:49
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:49
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:50
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:50
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 01:49
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 01:49
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 01:49
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -6.10%E -3.94%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +0.523%E +0.205%K +0.337%G +0.002%3.7%2026-06-06 01:48
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.94%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 01:50
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.94%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 01:39
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-06 01:50
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.13%EV -12.16%E -8.39%K -27.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -10.12%E -4.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-06 01:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-06-06 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-06-06 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-06-06 01:50
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-06-06 01:50
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-06-06 01:50
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-06-06 01:49
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-06-06 01:40