La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Portland Fire v Phoenix Mercury
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Portland Fire (Local)
Predicción 60.58%1.65momio equitativo
EV +7.83%
Ventaja +4.40%
Kelly +10.04%
Crecimiento +0.786%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.66%60.15%60.64%62.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.581.571.7868.97%63.47%63.69%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)
Predicción 39.42%2.54momio equitativo
EV +0.523%
Ventaja +0.205%
Kelly +0.337%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.80%39.85%39.36%47.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.982.412.422.5550.51%41.42%41.32%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV +7.83%E +4.40%K +10.04%G +0.786% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -21.95%E -11.08%K -22.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-05 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-06 01:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-06 01:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-06 01:29 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-06 00:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.07%E -1.92%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-06 00:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-06 00:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-06 00:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 01:39 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.33%E -4.06%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 01:39 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 00:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.78%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-06 00:20 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.45%E -0.579%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-06 01:47 |
| Caesars | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-06 00:37 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-06 00:19 |
| ReBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-06 01:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-06 01:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-06 01:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.36%E -3.13%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.30%E -5.02%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-06 00:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -6.10%E -3.94%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +0.523%E +0.205%K +0.337%G +0.002% | 3.7% | 2026-06-06 01:48 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.94%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.94%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-06 01:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.13%EV -12.16%E -8.39%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -10.12%E -4.44%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| Novig | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-06-06 01:50 |
| Polymarket | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-06-06 01:49 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75% | 3.1% | 2026-06-06 01:40 |