مدرسة الاحتمالات

Portland Fire v Phoenix Mercury

البداية: 2026-06-06 02:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Portland Fire 72–78 Phoenix Mercury

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

43 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Portland Fire (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.58%1.65السعر العادل
EV +7.83%
الأفضلية +4.40%
Kelly +10.04%
النمو +0.786%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.66%60.15%60.64%62.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.581.571.7868.97%63.47%63.69%56.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Phoenix Mercury (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.42%2.54السعر العادل
EV +0.523%
الأفضلية +0.205%
Kelly +0.337%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.80%39.85%39.36%47.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.982.412.422.5550.51%41.42%41.32%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV +7.83%E +4.40%K +10.04%G +0.786%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -21.95%E -11.08%K -22.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 00:10
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-06 01:29
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-06 01:29
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-06 01:29
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-06 00:29
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.07%E -1.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 01:50
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 01:49
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 00:40
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 00:30
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 00:19
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 01:39
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.68%E -2.31%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.33%E -4.06%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 01:39
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 00:20
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.78%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 00:20
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.45%E -0.579%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 01:47
Caesars1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 00:37
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 01:49
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 01:49
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 00:19
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.60%E -1.90%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 01:49
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-06 01:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-06 01:39
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-06 01:39
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.36%E -3.13%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 01:49
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.89%E -3.11%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.30%E -5.02%K -9.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-06 00:19
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:49
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:49
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:49
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:50
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:49
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:49
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:50
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.24%E -0.902%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 01:50
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 01:49
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 01:49
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.50%E -3.52%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 01:49
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -6.10%E -3.94%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +0.523%E +0.205%K +0.337%G +0.002%3.7%2026-06-06 01:48
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.94%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 01:50
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.94%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 01:39
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-06 01:50
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.13%EV -12.16%E -8.39%K -27.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -10.12%E -4.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-06 01:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-06-06 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-06-06 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-06-06 01:50
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-06-06 01:50
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-06-06 01:50
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-06-06 01:49
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-06-06 01:40