The School of Odds

Portland Fire v Las Vegas Aces

2026-07-10 02:00 — WNBA

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Option 1: Portland Fire (Local)

Odds
4.3522.99%Min
4.9620.17%Mean
5.0020.00%Median
5.2519.05%Max
Consensus probabilities
17.97%5.565Min
21.05%4.750Max
18.79%5.322Mean
18.66%5.359Median
18.70%5.348IQM
18.76%5.330Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.25 under the IQM model: 18.70%

EV -1.83%Edge -0.348%Kelly -0.430%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Las Vegas Aces (Visit)

Odds
1.1487.72%Min
1.1785.76%Mean
1.1785.47%Median
1.1884.75%Max
Consensus probabilities
78.95%1.267Min
82.03%1.219Max
81.21%1.231Mean
81.34%1.229Median
81.30%1.230IQM
81.24%1.231Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.18 under the IQM model: 81.30%

EV -4.07%Edge -3.45%Kelly -22.59%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

BookmakerPortland Fire (Local) ▼Las Vegas Aces (Visit)MarginUpdated
theScore Bet5.25I 19.05% NM 17.97%EV -1.83% E -0.348% K -0.430% G +0.000%1.15I 86.96% NM 82.03%EV -6.50% E -5.66% K -43.37% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 00:00
Fanatics5.20I 19.23% NM 18.37%EV -2.76% E -0.531% K -0.657% G +0.000%1.17I 85.47% NM 81.63%EV -4.88% E -4.17% K -28.70% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 00:00
Unibet (UK)5.20I 19.23% NM 18.37%EV -2.76% E -0.531% K -0.657% G +0.000%1.17I 85.47% NM 81.63%EV -4.88% E -4.17% K -28.70% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:59
FanDuel5.10I 19.61% NM 18.66%EV -4.63% E -0.908% K -1.13% G +0.000%1.17I 85.47% NM 81.34%EV -4.88% E -4.17% K -28.70% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:55
888sport5.00I 20.00% NM 18.96%EV -6.50% E -1.30% K -1.63% G +0.000%1.17I 85.47% NM 81.04%EV -4.88% E -4.17% K -28.70% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 00:00
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00% NM 18.96%EV -6.50% E -1.30% K -1.63% G +0.000%1.17I 85.47% NM 81.04%EV -4.88% E -4.17% K -28.70% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 00:00
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00% NM 18.96%EV -6.50% E -1.30% K -1.63% G +0.000%1.17I 85.47% NM 81.04%EV -4.88% E -4.17% K -28.70% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 00:00
Fliff5.00I 20.00% NM 18.96%EV -6.50% E -1.30% K -1.63% G +0.000%1.17I 85.47% NM 81.04%EV -4.88% E -4.17% K -28.70% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 00:50
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00% NM 18.96%EV -6.50% E -1.30% K -1.63% G +0.000%1.17I 85.47% NM 81.04%EV -4.88% E -4.17% K -28.70% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 00:29
SportsBet5.00I 20.00% NM 18.83%EV -6.50% E -1.30% K -1.63% G +0.000%1.16I 86.21% NM 81.17%EV -5.69% E -4.91% K -35.57% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 23:55
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00% NM 18.57%EV -6.50% E -1.30% K -1.63% G +0.000%1.14I 87.72% NM 81.43%EV -7.32% E -6.42% K -52.27% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-08 00:00
Betr (AU)4.95I 20.20% NM 19.25%EV -7.44% E -1.50% K -1.88% G +0.000%1.18I 84.75% NM 80.75%EV -4.07% E -3.45% K -22.59% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 00:05
Bet Right4.90I 20.41% NM 19.41%EV -8.37% E -1.71% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.18I 84.75% NM 80.59%EV -4.07% E -3.45% K -22.59% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 00:05
NordicBet4.90I 20.41% NM 19.14%EV -8.37% E -1.71% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.16I 86.21% NM 80.86%EV -5.69% E -4.91% K -35.57% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 00:00
Betsson4.90I 20.41% NM 19.14%EV -8.37% E -1.71% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.16I 86.21% NM 80.86%EV -5.69% E -4.91% K -35.57% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 00:00
ReBet4.80I 20.83% NM 19.46%EV -10.24% E -2.13% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.16I 86.21% NM 80.54%EV -5.69% E -4.91% K -35.57% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 00:00
Coolbet4.70I 21.28% NM 20.07%EV -12.11% E -2.58% K -3.27% G +0.000%1.18I 84.75% NM 79.93%EV -4.07% E -3.45% K -22.59% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 00:04
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99% NM 21.05%EV -18.66% E -4.29% K -5.57% G +0.000%1.16I 86.21% NM 78.95%EV -5.69% E -4.91% K -35.57% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-08 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerPortland Fire (Local)Las Vegas Aces (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Polymarket5.00I 20.00% NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97% NM 80.39%2.0%2026-07-08 00:35