The School of OddsLanguage:English
Portland Fire v Las Vegas Aces
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
Prediction 20.72%4.83fair odd
EV +8.80%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +2.07%
Growth +0.182%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.97%20.49%20.76%22.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.204.564.505.2523.81%21.94%22.22%19.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Las Vegas Aces (Visit)
Prediction 79.28%1.26fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -14.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.49%79.51%79.24%82.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.151.201.201.2286.96%83.36%83.33%81.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +8.80%E +1.68%K +2.07%G +0.182% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.83%E -7.68%K -58.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Caesars | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.62%E +0.724%K +0.905%G +0.033% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.45%E -5.47%K -35.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 01:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.62%E +0.724%K +0.905%G +0.033% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.62%E +0.724%K +0.905%G +0.033% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Bet Victor | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.55%E +0.316%K +0.397%G +0.006% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-10 01:48 |
| BetUS | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +0.512%E +0.105%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +0.097%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +0.097%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| GTbets | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.56%E -0.329%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| DraftKings | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.60%E -0.553%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 00:33 |
| SportsBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.60%E -0.553%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.45%E -5.47%K -35.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 01:30 |
| Fanatics | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 00:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| ReBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:49 |
| Pinnacle | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.11%EV -5.50%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.89%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 01:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 00:14 |
| Bet Right | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Bally Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 01:58 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 01:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 01:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 01:25 |
| BetRivers | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Fliff | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.66%E -4.76%K -29.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-10 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-10 00:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -7.78%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:59 |
| BetAnything | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 00:20 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 01:20 |
| NordicBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| Betsson | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -8.04%E -6.93%K -50.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.92%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 00:14 |
| Neds | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.92%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 00:15 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.96%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 00:19 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.96%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.45%E -5.47%K -35.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05% | 0.3% | 2026-07-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 01:55 |
| Polymarket | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 1.2% | 2026-07-10 01:55 |
| ProphetX | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |