Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Fire v Las Vegas Aces

Início: 2026-07-10 02:05 UTC

Final: Portland Fire 80–88 Las Vegas Aces

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Fire (Local)

Previsão 20.72%4.83odd justa
EV +8.80%
Vantagem +1.68%
Kelly +2.07%
Crescimento +0.182%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.97%20.49%20.76%22.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.564.505.2523.81%21.94%22.22%19.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)

Previsão 79.28%1.26odd justa
EV -3.28%
Vantagem -2.69%
Kelly -14.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.49%79.51%79.24%82.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.151.201.201.2286.96%83.36%83.33%81.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Portland Fire (Local): 20.72%; Las Vegas Aces (Visitante): 79.28%. Para Portland Fire (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.83. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.80%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +8.80%E +1.68%K +2.07%G +0.182%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.83%E -7.68%K -58.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 02:00
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.62%E +0.724%K +0.905%G +0.033%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.45%E -5.47%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 01:46
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.62%E +0.724%K +0.905%G +0.033%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 02:00
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.62%E +0.724%K +0.905%G +0.033%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 02:00
Bet Victor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.55%E +0.316%K +0.397%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 01:48
BetUS🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +0.512%E +0.105%K +0.133%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 01:44
BetOnline.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +0.097%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 01:44
LowVig.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +0.097%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 01:44
GTbets🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.56%E -0.329%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 01:44
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.60%E -0.553%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 00:33
SportsBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.60%E -0.553%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.45%E -5.47%K -35.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 01:30
Fanatics🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 00:14
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:44
ReBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:44
MyBookie.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:49
Pinnacle🎯4.56I 21.93%NM 21.11%EV -5.50%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.89%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 01:50
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 00:14
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 00:45
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 00:45
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 00:45
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 00:45
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 01:58
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 01:24
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 01:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 01:25
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 00:45
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 00:45
Fliff🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.66%E -4.76%K -29.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 01:50
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-10 00:14
Betr (AU)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -7.78%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:59
BetAnything🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 00:20
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 01:44
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 01:20
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 01:44
Betsson🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 01:44
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -8.04%E -6.93%K -50.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.92%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 00:14
Neds🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.92%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 00:15
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.96%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 00:19
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.96%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.45%E -5.47%K -35.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 01:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05%0.3%2026-07-10 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-07-10 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-07-10 02:00
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-07-10 01:55
Polymarket4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-07-10 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00%1.2%2026-07-10 01:55
ProphetX5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%1.6%2026-07-10 02:00