L’École des cotesFrançais
Portland Fire v Las Vegas Aces
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Portland Fire (Local)
Prévision 20.72%4.83cote équitable
EV +8.80%
Avantage +1.68%
Kelly +2.07%
Croissance +0.182%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.97%20.49%20.76%22.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.564.505.2523.81%21.94%22.22%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Las Vegas Aces (Visiteur)
Prévision 79.28%1.26cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -2.69%
Kelly -14.92%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.49%79.51%79.24%82.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.201.201.2286.96%83.36%83.33%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +8.80%E +1.68%K +2.07%G +0.182% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.83%E -7.68%K -58.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Caesars | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.62%E +0.724%K +0.905%G +0.033% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.45%E -5.47%K -35.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 01:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.62%E +0.724%K +0.905%G +0.033% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.62%E +0.724%K +0.905%G +0.033% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Bet Victor | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.55%E +0.316%K +0.397%G +0.006% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-10 01:48 |
| BetUS | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +0.512%E +0.105%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +0.097%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +0.097%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| GTbets | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.56%E -0.329%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| DraftKings | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.60%E -0.553%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 00:33 |
| SportsBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.60%E -0.553%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.45%E -5.47%K -35.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 01:30 |
| Fanatics | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 00:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| ReBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:49 |
| Pinnacle | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.11%EV -5.50%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.89%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 01:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 00:14 |
| Bet Right | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Bally Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 01:58 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 01:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 01:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 01:25 |
| BetRivers | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Fliff | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.66%E -4.76%K -29.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-10 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-10 00:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -7.78%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:59 |
| BetAnything | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 00:20 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 01:20 |
| NordicBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| Betsson | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -8.04%E -6.93%K -50.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.92%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 00:14 |
| Neds | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.92%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 00:15 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.96%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 00:19 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.96%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.45%E -5.47%K -35.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05% | 0.3% | 2026-07-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 01:55 |
| Polymarket | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 1.2% | 2026-07-10 01:55 |
| ProphetX | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |