La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Portland Fire v Las Vegas Aces
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Portland Fire (Local)
Predicción 20.72%4.83momio equitativo
EV +8.80%
Ventaja +1.68%
Kelly +2.07%
Crecimiento +0.182%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.97%20.49%20.76%22.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.564.505.2523.81%21.94%22.22%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)
Predicción 79.28%1.26momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -2.69%
Kelly -14.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.49%79.51%79.24%82.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.201.201.2286.96%83.36%83.33%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +8.80%E +1.68%K +2.07%G +0.182% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.83%E -7.68%K -58.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Caesars | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.62%E +0.724%K +0.905%G +0.033% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.45%E -5.47%K -35.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 01:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.62%E +0.724%K +0.905%G +0.033% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.62%E +0.724%K +0.905%G +0.033% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Bet Victor | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +1.55%E +0.316%K +0.397%G +0.006% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-10 01:48 |
| BetUS | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +0.512%E +0.105%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +0.097%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +0.097%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| GTbets | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.56%E -0.329%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| DraftKings | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.60%E -0.553%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 00:33 |
| SportsBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.60%E -0.553%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.45%E -5.47%K -35.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 01:30 |
| Fanatics | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 00:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| ReBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:49 |
| Pinnacle | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.11%EV -5.50%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.89%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 01:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 00:14 |
| Bet Right | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Bally Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 01:58 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 01:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 01:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 01:25 |
| BetRivers | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Fliff | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.66%E -4.76%K -29.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-10 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.74%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-10 00:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -7.78%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:59 |
| BetAnything | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 00:20 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -7.25%E -6.19%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.08%E -3.37%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 01:20 |
| NordicBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| Betsson | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -8.04%E -6.93%K -50.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-10 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.92%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 00:14 |
| Neds | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.92%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 00:15 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.96%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.28%E -2.69%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 00:19 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.96%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.45%E -5.47%K -35.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 01:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05% | 0.3% | 2026-07-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 01:55 |
| Polymarket | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 1.2% | 2026-07-10 01:55 |
| ProphetX | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |