Language:English
Phoenix Mercury v Washington Mystics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Prediction 34.18%2.93fair odd
EV +0.829%
Edge +0.281%
Kelly +0.425%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.18%33.98%34.12%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.822.802.9537.74%35.44%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Mystics (Visit)
Prediction 65.82%1.52fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -6.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%66.02%65.88%67.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.431.441.4774.63%69.74%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Mercury (Local): 34.18%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 65.82%. For Phoenix Mercury (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.829%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.196%E -0.067%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 00:28 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -0.538%E -0.185%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 01:41 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.880%E -0.303%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 01:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.90%E -0.664%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.25%E -0.786%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.25%E -0.786%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 00:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.59%E -0.908%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.24%E -2.21%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 01:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.59%E -0.908%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.24%E -2.21%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 01:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.59%E -0.908%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.24%E -2.21%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 00:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 01:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 01:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 01:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 01:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 01:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -11.80%E -8.81%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.32%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 01:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.32%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 01:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 01:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 01:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 01:36 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 01:36 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 01:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 01:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 01:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.42%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08% | 2.7% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97% | 3.0% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |