默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Phoenix Mercury v Washington Mystics

开赛时间: 2026-08-28 02:06 UTC

最终结果: Phoenix Mercury 73–80 Washington Mystics

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Phoenix Mercury (主队)

预测 34.18%2.93公平赔率
EV +0.829%
优势 +0.281%
Kelly +0.425%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布
32.18%33.98%34.12%34.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.822.802.9537.74%35.44%35.71%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

Washington Mystics (客队)

预测 65.82%1.52公平赔率
EV -3.24%
优势 -2.21%
Kelly -6.90%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.47

博彩公司预测分布
65.06%66.02%65.88%67.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.341.431.441.4774.63%69.74%69.44%68.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Phoenix Mercury (主队):34.18%;Washington Mystics (客队):65.82%。 对于“Phoenix Mercury (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.93。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.95,对应+0.829%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 01:55
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 01:55
Caesars🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.196%E -0.067%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 00:28
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -0.538%E -0.185%K -0.282%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 01:41
Fliff🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.880%E -0.303%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 01:59
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.90%E -0.664%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 01:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.25%E -0.786%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 00:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.25%E -0.786%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 00:44
Bet Victor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.59%E -0.908%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.24%E -2.21%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 01:45
betano_uk🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.59%E -0.908%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.24%E -2.21%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 01:49
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.59%E -0.908%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 01:59
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.24%E -2.21%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 01:55
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 00:45
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 01:50
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 00:50
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 01:35
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 00:55
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 01:40
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 01:41
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -11.80%E -8.81%K -34.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 01:55
SportsBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.32%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 01:50
Coolbet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.32%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 01:41
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 01:55
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 01:40
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 01:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 01:36
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 00:20
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 02:00
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 01:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 00:20
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 01:35
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 00:40
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 01:35
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 02:00
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.42%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 02:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-08-28 02:00
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-08-28 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-08-28 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-08-28 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-08-28 02:00
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%2.0%2026-08-28 02:00
ProphetX◎3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-08-28 02:00
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%3.0%2026-08-28 02:00