Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Phoenix Mercury v Washington Mystics

Início: 2026-08-28 02:06 UTC

Final: Phoenix Mercury 73–80 Washington Mystics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Previsão 34.18%2.93odd justa
EV +0.829%
Vantagem +0.281%
Kelly +0.425%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.18%33.98%34.12%34.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.822.802.9537.74%35.44%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Mystics (Visitante)

Previsão 65.82%1.52odd justa
EV -3.24%
Vantagem -2.21%
Kelly -6.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.06%66.02%65.88%67.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.341.431.441.4774.63%69.74%69.44%68.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Phoenix Mercury (Local): 34.18%; Washington Mystics (Visitante): 65.82%. Para Phoenix Mercury (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.93. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.95, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.829%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:55
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 01:55
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 01:55
Caesars🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.196%E -0.067%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 00:28
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -0.538%E -0.185%K -0.282%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 01:41
Fliff🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.880%E -0.303%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 01:59
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.90%E -0.664%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 01:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.25%E -0.786%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 00:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.25%E -0.786%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 00:44
Bet Victor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.59%E -0.908%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.24%E -2.21%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 01:45
betano_uk🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.59%E -0.908%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.24%E -2.21%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 01:49
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.59%E -0.908%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 01:59
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.24%E -2.21%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 01:55
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 00:45
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 01:50
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 00:50
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 01:35
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 00:55
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 01:40
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 01:41
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -11.80%E -8.81%K -34.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 01:55
SportsBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.32%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 01:50
Coolbet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.32%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 01:41
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 01:55
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 01:40
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 01:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 01:36
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 00:20
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 02:00
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 01:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 00:20
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 01:35
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 00:40
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 01:35
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 02:00
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.42%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 02:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-08-28 02:00
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-08-28 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-08-28 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-08-28 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-08-28 02:00
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%2.0%2026-08-28 02:00
ProphetX◎3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-08-28 02:00
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%3.0%2026-08-28 02:00