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Phoenix Mercury v Washington Mystics
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Predicción 34.18%2.93momio equitativo
EV +0.829%
Ventaja +0.281%
Kelly +0.425%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.18%33.98%34.12%34.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.822.802.9537.74%35.44%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Mystics (Visitante)
Predicción 65.82%1.52momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -2.21%
Kelly -6.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.06%66.02%65.88%67.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.431.441.4774.63%69.74%69.44%68.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Phoenix Mercury (Local): 34.18%; Washington Mystics (Visitante): 65.82%. Para Phoenix Mercury (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.93. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.95, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.829%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.19%E -5.10%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.829%E +0.281%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.196%E -0.067%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 00:28 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -0.538%E -0.185%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 01:41 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.880%E -0.303%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 01:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.90%E -0.664%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.25%E -0.786%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.25%E -0.786%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 00:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.59%E -0.908%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.24%E -2.21%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 01:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.59%E -0.908%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.24%E -2.21%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 01:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.59%E -0.908%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.24%E -2.21%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 00:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 01:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 01:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 01:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 01:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 01:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -4.30%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -11.80%E -8.81%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.32%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 01:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.32%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 01:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 01:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.66%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 01:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 01:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 01:36 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.90%E -2.67%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 01:36 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 01:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.01%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 01:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.56%E -3.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 01:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.22%E -3.62%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.42%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08% | 2.7% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97% | 3.0% | 2026-08-28 02:00 |