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New York Liberty v Washington Mystics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Liberty (Local)
Prediction 85.46%1.17fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -18.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.84%85.42%85.41%86.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.121.121.1494.34%89.68%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Mystics (Visit)
Prediction 14.54%6.88fair odd
EV +5.26%
Edge +0.726%
Kelly +0.842%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 7.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.40%14.58%14.59%16.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.476.507.2418.18%15.45%15.38%13.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 85.46%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 14.54%. For Washington Mystics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.88. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.60%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.40%EV +5.26%E +0.726%K +0.842%G +0.044% | 3.1% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%EV -2.57%E -2.26%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%EV +1.77%E +0.252%K +0.294%G +0.005% | 2.0% | 2026-06-14 19:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.77%E +0.252%K +0.294%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -2.01%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -2.01%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.59%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.41%EV -3.32%E -0.499%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.05%E -0.613%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.45%K -59.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.45%K -59.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.14%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.14%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.86%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.86%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.32%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.32%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.77%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.77%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.99%E -5.45%K -59.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.77%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.84%EV -9.41%E -8.88%K -156.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -20.04%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.9% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.98% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.02% | 3.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.69% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31% | 4.8% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |