La escuela de los momiosEspañol
New York Liberty v Washington Mystics
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Liberty (Local)
Predicción 85.46%1.17momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -18.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.84%85.42%85.41%86.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.121.121.1494.34%89.68%89.29%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Washington Mystics (Visitante)
Predicción 14.54%6.88momio equitativo
EV +5.26%
Ventaja +0.726%
Kelly +0.842%
Crecimiento +0.044%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.40%14.58%14.59%16.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.476.507.2418.18%15.45%15.38%13.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.60%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.40%EV +5.26%E +0.726%K +0.842%G +0.044% | 3.1% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%EV -2.57%E -2.26%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%EV +1.77%E +0.252%K +0.294%G +0.005% | 2.0% | 2026-06-14 19:01 |
| Caesars | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.77%E +0.252%K +0.294%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| GTbets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Bovada | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -2.01%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -2.01%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BetUS | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.59%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.41%EV -3.32%E -0.499%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| ReBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.05%E -0.613%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| betPARX | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| 888sport | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.45%K -59.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Betsson | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.45%K -59.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.14%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.14%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.86%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Neds | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.86%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.32%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.32%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.77%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.77%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.99%E -5.45%K -59.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.77%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.84%EV -9.41%E -8.88%K -156.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -20.04%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.9% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Novig | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.98% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.02% | 3.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.69% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31% | 4.8% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |