L’École des cotes

New York Liberty v Washington Mystics

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-14 19:05 UTC

Score final : New York Liberty 86–64 Washington Mystics

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Prévision 85.46%1.17cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -18.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.84%85.42%85.41%86.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.061.121.121.1494.34%89.68%89.29%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Mystics (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.54%6.88cote équitable
EV +5.26%
Avantage +0.726%
Kelly +0.842%
Croissance +0.044%

avec la cote maximale 7.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.40%14.58%14.59%16.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.476.507.2418.18%15.45%15.38%13.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 86.60%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.40%EV +5.26%E +0.726%K +0.842%G +0.044%3.1%2026-06-14 18:59
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%EV -2.57%E -2.26%K -18.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%EV +1.77%E +0.252%K +0.294%G +0.005%2.0%2026-06-14 19:01
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.77%E +0.252%K +0.294%G +0.005%4.4%2026-06-14 18:59
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 19:00
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 18:59
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 19:00
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 18:59
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -2.01%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -2.01%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 19:00
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 85.59%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.41%EV -3.32%E -0.499%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 18:59
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.05%E -0.613%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 18:59
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 18:59
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 18:59
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 18:59
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 19:00
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.45%K -59.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 18:59
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.45%K -59.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 18:59
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 19:00
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.14%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 19:00
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.14%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.86%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 18:59
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.86%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 18:59
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.32%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-14 19:00
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.32%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-14 19:00
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.77%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 19:00
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.77%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 19:00
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.99%E -5.45%K -59.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.77%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 19:00
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 83.84%EV -9.41%E -8.88%K -156.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -20.04%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-14 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-14 19:00
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-06-14 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-06-14 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-06-14 19:00
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%1.9%2026-06-14 19:00
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 84.98%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.02%3.2%2026-06-14 19:00
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.69%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31%4.8%2026-06-14 19:00