A Escola das Odds

New York Liberty v Washington Mystics

Início: 2026-06-14 19:05 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 86–64 Washington Mystics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Previsão 85.46%1.17odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -2.26%
Kelly -18.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.84%85.42%85.41%86.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.061.121.121.1494.34%89.68%89.29%87.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Mystics (Visitante)

Previsão 14.54%6.88odd justa
EV +5.26%
Vantagem +0.726%
Kelly +0.842%
Crescimento +0.044%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.40%14.58%14.59%16.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.506.476.507.2418.18%15.45%15.38%13.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 86.60%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.40%EV +5.26%E +0.726%K +0.842%G +0.044%3.1%2026-06-14 18:59
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%EV -2.57%E -2.26%K -18.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%EV +1.77%E +0.252%K +0.294%G +0.005%2.0%2026-06-14 19:01
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.77%E +0.252%K +0.294%G +0.005%4.4%2026-06-14 18:59
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 19:00
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 18:59
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 19:00
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.87%E -0.277%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 18:59
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -2.01%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -2.01%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 19:00
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 85.59%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.41%EV -3.32%E -0.499%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 18:59
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.05%E -0.613%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 18:59
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 18:59
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:00
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 18:59
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 18:59
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 19:00
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.45%K -59.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 18:59
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.45%K -59.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.50%E -0.846%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 18:59
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 19:00
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.14%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 19:00
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.14%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.86%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 18:59
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.86%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 18:59
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.32%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-14 19:00
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.32%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-14 19:00
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.77%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 19:00
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.14%E -4.63%K -46.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.77%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 19:00
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.99%E -5.45%K -59.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.77%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 19:00
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 83.84%EV -9.41%E -8.88%K -156.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -20.04%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-14 19:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-14 19:00
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-06-14 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-06-14 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-06-14 19:00
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%1.9%2026-06-14 19:00
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 84.98%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.02%3.2%2026-06-14 19:00
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.69%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31%4.8%2026-06-14 19:00