Language:English
New York Liberty v Seattle Storm
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Liberty (Local)
Prediction 75.69%1.32fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -5.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%75.57%75.67%77.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.78%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Storm (Visit)
Prediction 24.31%4.11fair odd
EV +2.09%
Edge +0.499%
Kelly +0.655%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.51%24.43%24.33%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.803.804.2030.77%26.33%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 75.69%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 24.31%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.09%E +0.499%K +0.655%G +0.014% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.09%E +0.499%K +0.655%G +0.014% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.09%E +0.499%K +0.655%G +0.014% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.336%E -0.082%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 23:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.336%E -0.082%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 23:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.336%E -0.082%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.63%E -3.67%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.55%E -0.383%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.77%E -0.692%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.77%E -0.692%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.77%E -0.692%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -3.01%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.98%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.63%E -3.67%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.98%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -4.71%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -4.71%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 21:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.11%E -2.43%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -6.41%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.36%E -1.83%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.11%E -2.43%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.11%E -2.43%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 20:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.84%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.14%E -4.95%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.84%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.84%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.63%E -3.67%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.63%E -3.67%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.36%E -1.83%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.36%E -1.83%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.36%E -1.83%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.11%E -2.43%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.11%E -2.43%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 10:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -6.14%E -4.95%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -16.14%E -4.68%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -2.36%E -1.83%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -21.00%E -6.46%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 19:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 23:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |