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New York Liberty v Seattle Storm
Resultado del partido
New York Liberty (Local)
Predicción 77.94%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -10.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.19%77.98%78.15%79.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.20%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Seattle Storm (Visitante)
Predicción 22.06%4.53momio equitativo
EV +3.67%
Ventaja +0.781%
Kelly +0.992%
Crecimiento +0.036%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.07%22.02%21.85%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.274.254.7025.64%23.44%23.53%21.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: New York Liberty (Local): 77.94%; Seattle Storm (Visitante): 22.06%. Para Seattle Storm (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.53. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.70, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.67%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -8.03%E -6.80%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +3.67%E +0.781%K +0.992%G +0.036% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV +2.35%E +0.506%K +0.645%G +0.015% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 11:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.47%E +0.319%K +0.407%G +0.006% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.740%E -0.165%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.740%E -0.165%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.81%E -7.53%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.740%E -0.165%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.95%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 21:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.95%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:28 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.95%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.95%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.05%E -0.931%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| GTbets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 21:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Fliff | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| betPARX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:57 |
| Bally Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:54 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| ReBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.56%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.57%E -2.06%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:05 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.57%E -2.06%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:04 |
| TAB | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:54 |
| betano_uk | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 20:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.81%E -7.53%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -13.98%E -3.58%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 21:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| Novig | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.60% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |