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New York Liberty v Seattle Storm
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Liberty (Local)
Predicción 75.69%1.32momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -5.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%75.57%75.67%77.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.78%78.74%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Seattle Storm (Visitante)
Predicción 24.31%4.11momio equitativo
EV +2.09%
Ventaja +0.499%
Kelly +0.655%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.51%24.43%24.33%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.803.804.2030.77%26.33%26.32%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Liberty (Local): 75.69%; Seattle Storm (Visitante): 24.31%. Para Seattle Storm (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.11. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.09%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.09%E +0.499%K +0.655%G +0.014% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.09%E +0.499%K +0.655%G +0.014% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.09%E +0.499%K +0.655%G +0.014% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.336%E -0.082%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 23:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.336%E -0.082%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 23:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.336%E -0.082%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.63%E -3.67%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.55%E -0.383%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.77%E -0.692%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.77%E -0.692%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.77%E -0.692%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -3.01%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.98%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.63%E -3.67%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.98%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -4.71%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -4.71%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 21:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.11%E -2.43%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -6.41%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.36%E -1.83%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.11%E -2.43%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.11%E -2.43%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 20:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.87%E -3.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.39%E -4.31%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.84%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.14%E -4.95%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.84%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.84%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.63%E -3.67%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.63%E -3.67%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.60%E -1.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.36%E -1.83%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.36%E -1.83%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.36%E -1.83%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.11%E -2.43%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.11%E -2.43%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 10:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -6.14%E -4.95%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -16.14%E -4.68%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -2.36%E -1.83%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -21.00%E -6.46%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 19:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 23:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |