Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Liberty v Seattle Storm

2026-08-05 23:00 UTC — WNBA

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Liberty (Local)

Previsão 77.94%1.28odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -2.06%
Kelly -10.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.19%77.98%78.15%79.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.20%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Storm (Visitante)

Previsão 22.06%4.53odd justa
EV +3.67%
Vantagem +0.781%
Kelly +0.992%
Crescimento +0.036%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.07%22.02%21.85%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.274.254.7025.64%23.44%23.53%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: New York Liberty (Local): 77.94%; Seattle Storm (Visitante): 22.06%. Para Seattle Storm (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.53. 3 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.70, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +3.67%.

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -8.03%E -6.80%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +3.67%E +0.781%K +0.992%G +0.036%6.0%2026-08-04 20:55
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.09%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV +2.35%E +0.506%K +0.645%G +0.015%4.2%2026-08-04 11:14
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.47%E +0.319%K +0.407%G +0.006%5.1%2026-08-04 20:55
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.740%E -0.165%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:04
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.740%E -0.165%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:24
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.81%E -7.53%K -51.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.740%E -0.165%K -0.212%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 20:55
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.95%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:24
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.95%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:28
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.95%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:04
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.95%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:25
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.05%E -0.931%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:05
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:29
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:00
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:15
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 21:05
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 21:05
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:59
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:59
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:00
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:59
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:59
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:57
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:00
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:59
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:59
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:54
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:50
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:49
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:50
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 21:05
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.56%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.57%E -2.06%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:05
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.57%E -2.06%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:04
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:54
betano_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:54
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:55
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.81%E -7.53%K -51.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 20:59
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -13.98%E -3.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 21:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-08-04 21:35
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-08-04 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-08-04 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-08-04 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-08-04 21:40
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 79.60%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%3.0%2026-08-04 21:40