Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Liberty v Seattle Storm

2026-08-05 23:00 UTC — WNBA

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Liberty (Local)

Prévision 77.94%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -2.06%
Kelly -10.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.19%77.98%78.15%79.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.20%81.97%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Seattle Storm (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.06%4.53cote équitable
EV +3.67%
Avantage +0.781%
Kelly +0.992%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.07%22.02%21.85%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.274.254.7025.64%23.44%23.53%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : New York Liberty (Local) : 77.94% ; Seattle Storm (Visiteur) : 22.06%. Pour Seattle Storm (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.53. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.70, pour une espérance positive de +3.67%.

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -8.03%E -6.80%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +3.67%E +0.781%K +0.992%G +0.036%6.0%2026-08-04 20:55
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.09%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV +2.35%E +0.506%K +0.645%G +0.015%4.2%2026-08-04 11:14
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.47%E +0.319%K +0.407%G +0.006%5.1%2026-08-04 20:55
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.740%E -0.165%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:04
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.740%E -0.165%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:24
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.81%E -7.53%K -51.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.740%E -0.165%K -0.212%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 20:55
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.95%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:24
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.95%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:28
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.95%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:04
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.95%E -0.670%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:25
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.05%E -0.931%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:05
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:29
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:00
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:15
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 21:05
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 21:05
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:59
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:59
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:00
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:59
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:59
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:57
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:00
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:59
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.25%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:59
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:54
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:50
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:49
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:50
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.36%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 21:05
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.56%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.57%E -2.06%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:05
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.57%E -2.06%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:04
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:54
betano_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:54
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:55
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.81%E -7.53%K -51.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.77%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 20:59
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -13.98%E -3.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 21:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-08-04 21:35
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-08-04 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-08-04 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-08-04 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-08-04 21:40
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 79.60%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%3.0%2026-08-04 21:40