Language:English
New York Liberty v Portland Fire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Liberty (Local)
Prediction 79.68%1.26fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -12.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%79.84%79.55%82.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.191.191.2288.50%83.96%84.03%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Portland Fire (Visit)
Prediction 20.32%4.92fair odd
EV +6.70%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +1.58%
Growth +0.106%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.97%20.16%20.45%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.684.705.2525.00%21.35%21.28%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 79.68%; Portland Fire (Visit): 20.32%. For Portland Fire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.92. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +6.70%E +1.28%K +1.58%G +0.106% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.70%E +1.28%K +1.58%G +0.106% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.62%E +0.325%K +0.406%G +0.007% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.62%E +0.325%K +0.406%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.62%E +0.325%K +0.406%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.62%E +0.325%K +0.406%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV +1.42%E +0.284%K +0.356%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -1.43%E -0.294%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -3.66%E -0.772%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-26 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.47%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 00:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.47%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -5.08%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 00:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -5.08%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 00:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 00:07 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -7.52%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 00:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -7.52%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.54%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.54%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.54%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.54%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.80%E -2.29%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.57%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.57%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.57%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 00:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -11.99%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.80%E -2.29%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.60%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -9.97%E -8.82%K -76.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.64%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.70%E -4.68%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49% | 3.2% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 76.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57% | 17.9% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 76.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57% | 17.9% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 76.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57% | 17.9% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |