L’École des cotes

New York Liberty v Portland Fire

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 00:15 UTC

Score final : New York Liberty 74–81 Portland Fire

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Prévision 79.68%1.26cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -12.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.92%79.84%79.55%82.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.191.191.2288.50%83.96%84.03%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Portland Fire (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.32%4.92cote équitable
EV +6.70%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +1.58%
Croissance +0.106%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.97%20.16%20.45%23.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.684.705.2525.00%21.35%21.28%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +6.70%E +1.28%K +1.58%G +0.106%3.8%2026-05-26 00:10
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.70%E +1.28%K +1.58%G +0.106%6.0%2026-05-26 00:10
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.62%E +0.325%K +0.406%G +0.007%4.7%2026-05-26 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.62%E +0.325%K +0.406%G +0.007%5.5%2026-05-26 00:10
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.62%E +0.325%K +0.406%G +0.007%5.5%2026-05-26 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.62%E +0.325%K +0.406%G +0.007%5.5%2026-05-26 00:10
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV +1.42%E +0.284%K +0.356%G +0.005%6.2%2026-05-26 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.24%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -1.43%E -0.294%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 00:09
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:10
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:10
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:10
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:09
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:09
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:10
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:10
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:09
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -3.66%E -0.772%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-26 00:05
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.47%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 00:03
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.47%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -5.08%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 00:01
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -5.08%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 00:01
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 00:10
Caesars1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 00:10
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 00:00
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 00:09
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 00:07
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 00:10
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 00:09
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -7.52%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 00:01
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -7.52%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 23:59
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.54%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 23:59
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.54%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.54%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 23:59
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.54%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 23:59
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.80%E -2.29%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.57%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 23:59
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.57%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 00:10
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.57%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 00:01
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -11.99%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 00:00
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.80%E -2.29%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.60%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 00:10
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -9.97%E -8.82%K -76.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.64%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-26 00:10
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.70%E -4.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-05-26 00:10
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-05-26 00:10
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%3.2%2026-05-26 00:09
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%4.0%2026-05-26 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 76.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%17.9%2026-05-26 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 76.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%17.9%2026-05-26 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 76.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%17.9%2026-05-26 00:10