A Escola das Odds

New York Liberty v Portland Fire

Início: 2026-05-26 00:15 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 74–81 Portland Fire

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Previsão 79.68%1.26odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -2.29%
Kelly -12.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.92%79.84%79.55%82.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.131.191.191.2288.50%83.96%84.03%81.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Portland Fire (Visitante)

Previsão 20.32%4.92odd justa
EV +6.70%
Vantagem +1.28%
Kelly +1.58%
Crescimento +0.106%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.97%20.16%20.45%23.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.684.705.2525.00%21.35%21.28%19.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +6.70%E +1.28%K +1.58%G +0.106%3.8%2026-05-26 00:10
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.70%E +1.28%K +1.58%G +0.106%6.0%2026-05-26 00:10
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.62%E +0.325%K +0.406%G +0.007%4.7%2026-05-26 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.62%E +0.325%K +0.406%G +0.007%5.5%2026-05-26 00:10
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.62%E +0.325%K +0.406%G +0.007%5.5%2026-05-26 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.62%E +0.325%K +0.406%G +0.007%5.5%2026-05-26 00:10
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV +1.42%E +0.284%K +0.356%G +0.005%6.2%2026-05-26 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.24%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -1.43%E -0.294%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 00:09
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:10
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:10
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:10
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:09
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:09
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:10
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:10
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.44%E -0.509%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 00:09
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -3.66%E -0.772%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-26 00:05
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.47%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 00:03
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.47%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -5.08%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 00:01
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -5.08%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 00:01
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 00:10
Caesars1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.59%E -2.97%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 00:10
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 00:00
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 00:09
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 00:07
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 00:10
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.51%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 00:09
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -7.52%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 00:01
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.30%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -7.52%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 23:59
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.54%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 23:59
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.54%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.54%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 23:59
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.54%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 23:59
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.80%E -2.29%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.57%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 23:59
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.57%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 00:10
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.57%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 00:01
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -11.99%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 00:00
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.80%E -2.29%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.60%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 00:10
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -9.97%E -8.82%K -76.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.64%E -3.48%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-26 00:10
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.70%E -4.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 00:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-05-26 00:10
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-05-26 00:10
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%3.2%2026-05-26 00:09
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%4.0%2026-05-26 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 76.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%17.9%2026-05-26 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 76.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%17.9%2026-05-26 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 76.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%17.9%2026-05-26 00:10