Language:English
New York Liberty v Phoenix Mercury
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Liberty (Local)
Prediction 61.91%1.62fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%61.91%61.76%63.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.541.541.5968.03%64.83%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Phoenix Mercury (Visit)
Prediction 38.09%2.63fair odd
EV +0.945%
Edge +0.356%
Kelly +0.573%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.60%38.09%38.24%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.492.502.6544.44%40.19%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 61.91%; Phoenix Mercury (Visit): 38.09%. For Phoenix Mercury (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.945%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.945%E +0.356%K +0.573%G +0.005% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.945%E +0.356%K +0.573%G +0.005% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.945%E +0.356%K +0.573%G +0.005% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.960%E -0.369%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.960%E -0.369%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%EV -1.72%E -0.667%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.01%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 22:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 22:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.29%E -2.56%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.44%E -3.06%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.76%E -5.21%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -1.57%E -0.985%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -9.34%E -3.92%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.34%E -3.92%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.80%EV -9.00%E -6.12%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -13.15%E -5.77%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.29%E -6.35%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62% | 1.5% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59% | 2.7% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |