L’École des cotes

New York Liberty v Phoenix Mercury

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 23:05 UTC

Score final : New York Liberty 84–74 Phoenix Mercury

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Prévision 61.91%1.62cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.985%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.90%61.91%61.76%63.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.541.541.5968.03%64.83%64.94%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Phoenix Mercury (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.09%2.63cote équitable
EV +0.945%
Avantage +0.356%
Kelly +0.573%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.60%38.09%38.24%41.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.492.502.6544.44%40.19%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.945%E +0.356%K +0.573%G +0.005%3.1%2026-05-27 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.945%E +0.356%K +0.573%G +0.005%3.1%2026-05-27 22:59
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.945%E +0.356%K +0.573%G +0.005%3.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.960%E -0.369%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 23:00
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.960%E -0.369%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 22:59
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%EV -1.72%E -0.667%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 23:00
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-27 22:59
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 22:59
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 23:00
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.01%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 22:58
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 23:00
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 23:00
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:58
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 22:59
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.29%E -2.56%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 22:59
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 22:59
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 22:59
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.44%E -3.06%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 22:59
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.76%E -5.21%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-27 22:59
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -1.57%E -0.985%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -9.34%E -3.92%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.34%E -3.92%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 22:59
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.80%EV -9.00%E -6.12%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -13.15%E -5.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-27 23:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.29%E -6.35%K -11.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-05-27 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-05-27 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-05-27 23:00
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-05-27 23:00
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-05-27 23:00
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-05-27 23:00
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-05-27 23:00
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%2.7%2026-05-27 23:00