La escuela de los momios

New York Liberty v Phoenix Mercury

Inicio: 2026-05-27 23:05 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 84–74 Phoenix Mercury

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Predicción 61.91%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.985%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.90%61.91%61.76%63.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.541.541.5968.03%64.83%64.94%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)

Predicción 38.09%2.63momio equitativo
EV +0.945%
Ventaja +0.356%
Kelly +0.573%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.60%38.09%38.24%41.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.492.502.6544.44%40.19%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.945%E +0.356%K +0.573%G +0.005%3.1%2026-05-27 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.945%E +0.356%K +0.573%G +0.005%3.1%2026-05-27 22:59
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.945%E +0.356%K +0.573%G +0.005%3.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.960%E -0.369%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 23:00
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.960%E -0.369%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 22:59
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%EV -1.72%E -0.667%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 23:00
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-27 22:59
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 22:59
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 23:00
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.01%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 22:58
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 23:00
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 23:00
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:58
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 22:59
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.29%E -2.56%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 22:59
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 22:59
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 22:59
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.44%E -3.06%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 22:59
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.76%E -5.21%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-27 22:59
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -1.57%E -0.985%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -9.34%E -3.92%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.34%E -3.92%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 22:59
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.80%EV -9.00%E -6.12%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -13.15%E -5.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-27 23:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.29%E -6.35%K -11.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-05-27 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-05-27 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-05-27 23:00
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-05-27 23:00
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-05-27 23:00
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-05-27 23:00
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-05-27 23:00
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%2.7%2026-05-27 23:00