A Escola das Odds

New York Liberty v Phoenix Mercury

Início: 2026-05-27 23:05 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 84–74 Phoenix Mercury

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Previsão 61.91%1.62odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.985%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.90%61.91%61.76%63.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.541.541.5968.03%64.83%64.94%62.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)

Previsão 38.09%2.63odd justa
EV +0.945%
Vantagem +0.356%
Kelly +0.573%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.60%38.09%38.24%41.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.492.502.6544.44%40.19%40.00%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.945%E +0.356%K +0.573%G +0.005%3.1%2026-05-27 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.945%E +0.356%K +0.573%G +0.005%3.1%2026-05-27 22:59
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.945%E +0.356%K +0.573%G +0.005%3.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.960%E -0.369%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 23:00
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.960%E -0.369%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 22:59
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%EV -1.72%E -0.667%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 23:00
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-27 22:59
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 22:59
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 23:00
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.01%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 22:58
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 23:00
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 23:00
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:58
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 22:59
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.29%E -2.56%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 22:59
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 22:59
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 22:59
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.44%E -3.06%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 22:59
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.76%E -5.21%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-27 22:59
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -1.57%E -0.985%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -9.34%E -3.92%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 23:00
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.34%E -3.92%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 22:59
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.80%EV -9.00%E -6.12%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -13.15%E -5.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-27 23:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.29%E -6.35%K -11.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-05-27 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-05-27 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-05-27 23:00
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-05-27 23:00
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-05-27 23:00
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-05-27 23:00
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-05-27 23:00
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%2.7%2026-05-27 23:00