Language:English
New York Liberty v Phoenix Mercury
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Liberty (Local)
Prediction 65.67%1.52fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -5.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.48%65.69%65.63%67.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.451.4873.53%69.16%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Phoenix Mercury (Visit)
Prediction 34.33%2.91fair odd
EV +1.26%
Edge +0.428%
Kelly +0.647%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.65%34.31%34.37%35.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.762.752.9539.22%36.21%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 65.67%; Phoenix Mercury (Visit): 34.33%. For Phoenix Mercury (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +1.26%E +0.428%K +0.647%G +0.008% | 3.8% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 23:28 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.20%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-29 23:28 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 23:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 23:28 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -10.03%E -7.32%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -4.23%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 23:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.30%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.30%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 23:28 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.98%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 23:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.98%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -10.68%E -7.86%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -12.47%E -4.89%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32% | 1.5% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |