默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Liberty v Phoenix Mercury

开赛时间: 2026-05-29 23:32 UTC

最终结果: New York Liberty 75–68 Phoenix Mercury

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Liberty (主队)

预测 65.67%1.52公平赔率
EV -2.80%
优势 -1.89%
Kelly -5.84%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.48

博彩公司预测分布
64.48%65.69%65.63%67.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.451.451.4873.53%69.16%68.97%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

Phoenix Mercury (客队)

预测 34.33%2.91公平赔率
EV +1.26%
优势 +0.428%
Kelly +0.647%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布
32.65%34.31%34.37%35.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.762.752.9539.22%36.21%36.36%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:New York Liberty (主队):65.67%;Phoenix Mercury (客队):34.33%。 对于“Phoenix Mercury (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.91。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.95,对应+1.26%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +1.26%E +0.428%K +0.647%G +0.008%3.8%2026-05-29 23:29
Bet Victor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-29 23:29
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 23:29
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 23:29
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 23:28
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 23:29
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.20%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 23:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-29 23:28
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-29 23:29
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 23:29
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 23:30
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 23:29
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 23:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 23:28
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -10.03%E -7.32%K -27.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 23:29
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -4.23%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 23:29
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 23:29
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 23:29
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 23:29
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 23:28
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.30%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 23:29
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.30%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 23:28
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.98%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 23:28
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.98%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 23:29
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 23:29
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 23:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 23:29
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 23:29
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 23:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 23:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -10.68%E -7.86%K -29.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -12.47%E -4.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-29 23:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-05-29 23:29
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-05-29 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-29 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-29 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-29 23:29
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-29 23:29
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32%1.5%2026-05-29 23:29
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-05-29 23:29